The exit polls of the September 2019 elections for the 22nd Knesset show that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu did not obtain a decisive victory, but still appears to be the leading candidate to form the next government.
Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud – 32
Benny Gantz’s Blue and White – 32
Labor + Gesher – 5
The Joint Arab List – 12
United Torah Judaism – 8
Yemina – 7
Democratic Party– 5
Shas – 9
Yisrael Beiteinu – 10
Otzmah Yehudit – 0, failed to pass the electoral threshold.
(The numbers are based on Kan 11’s polls).
The main battle is between the right-wing bloc, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his Likud party, and between the center-left bloc, led by Benny Gantz and his Blue and White party.
Neither has obtained a significant enough majority to form a government. Gantz cannot rely on the Arab votes and is far from a coalition, while Netanyahu does not have the required 61, although he is closer to this number if he joins his traditional coalition partners.
Both parties will again have to engage in coalition negotiations. One lingering possibility is the formation of a unity government between the two leading parties.
It should be noted that the exit polls last elections in 2015 failed to predict the actual outcome of the elections. A poll from the April elections likewise missed the mark.
Similarly, the exit polls do not take into consideration the soldiers’ votes, which are usually more to the right and can boost to the right-wing parties.